Stock market indicators are obtained by taking market data and manipulating it in an attempt to learn more about the strength of a stock.
For each stock that trades in the stock market, at the end of a trading day, there are only six pieces of critical information about what went on. They are:
The opening price: this is the price of the first transaction
The high: this is the highest price of the day
The low: this is the lowest price of the day
The close: this is the price of the last transaction for the day
The volume: this is the number of shares that changed hands during the day
Number of trades: This identifies the number of transactions between buyers and sellers. One place to get this information is the StockScores website featured in the stock trading website section.
Most data vendors and stock trading websites provide the first five pieces of information and from this hundreds of stock market indicators have been developed. Traders use this information to help them identify good buying and selling points.
The data coming from the market can be divided up into two main areas:
Oscillators
- are considered to be leading indicators and can help identify turning points
- try to predict the future direction of a stock
- popular oscillators are stochastic, relative strength index (RSI) and Williams %R
Trending
- are considered lagging indicators
- they turn after the stock
- popular trending indicators are moving averages, moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) and on balance volume (OBV)
While many people originally think that they can beat the stock market just by using more information too many indicators on your stock market charts can cause confusion.
A 1 year daily OHLC stock chart of ATS Corporation (ATS.TO), which is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), is shown below.
Chart courtesy of Stockcharts.com
On this chart, there are 3 indicators. The price bars in this price chart are coloured using the Elder Impulse system which is described in Alexander Elder's book The New Trading for a Living. Overlayed on the price chart is shown a Keltner channel. Underneath the price is the volume pattern and below the volume is the full moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator.
From a bullish perspective, Elder's coloured bars can be briefly summarized as follows: red, don't buy. Blue bars give you a choice and green bars can be bought. The bars are coloured based on the MACD and moving averages he uses.
This Keltner channel shows the 20 EMA as a thinner light coloured line in the middle of the price bars while the outer solid lines are the 3 times the 14 period average true range ATR(14) added to and subtracted from the 20 EMA. This EMA is a trending indicator and as such lags the market. When price hits the upper channel this can be a good time to take partial profits as price does not typically stay at these levels for very long before reversing.
Just below the price chart is the volume (black and red lines) that the stock is trading each day. You can see that every once in awhile, the volume will spike up. In some cases these spikes appear to be at turning points while at others times they appear random.
The bottom histogram is the moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator. It can be divided into two parts: the histogram (blue histogram at the bottom of the chart) and the lines (black and red) at the bottom of the chart.
The MACD lines consist of two lines. The first line (black) is
the difference between the 12 and 26 day EMA of price while the red line
is the 9 day moving average of this line. Some traders will use the
crossing of these two lines as buy and sell signals. As they are
dependant on moving averages, these signals would be considered lagging.
The histogram measures the differences between the 12 and 26 day EMA (black line) and the 9 period moving average of this line (red line). A divergence between the histogram and stock price indicates there is a potential for a reversal in the stock price.
For
instance, there is a divergence between the the high which occurred on
the left hand of the chart and the MACD histogram. Soon after the stock
dropped. Also, the lows seen on the right hand side of the chart shows a
MACD histogram divergence as well. Soon after, the stock made a $10
move from around $34 to $44.
Price should generally be used to confirm any stock market indicator.
A good book, which I refer to often to learn about indicators, is Steven B. Achelis's, "Technical Analysis from A to Z"
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